RUSH, CAROLYN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NJ02219- Internal id
64b78565-e593-4797-8bfb-333bb9f54f03- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 783,815 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $85,261 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,224 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.458 |
| Race | White alone | 65.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 10.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 81.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 12.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.1% |
| Household | Family households | 67.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $318,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,363 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 26.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $125,579 | $126,439 | $0 | $105,000 | $25,579 |
| 2022 | $64,736 | $83,551 | $860 | $5,000 | $54,736 |
Elections
Committees
- CAROLYN RUSH FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-21 | AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-21 | AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CAROLYN RUSH FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |