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CRISPI, MICHAEL

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2NJ04207
Internal id
a017544f-6048-4b76-ba67-1264dbd03c88
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-04. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation788,486
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$99,155
IncomePer-capita income$51,345
IncomeIn poverty9.5%
IncomeUnemployed5.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.470
RaceWhite alone81.9%
RaceBlack alone3.5%
RaceAsian alone2.5%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.1%
RaceTwo or more races7.7%
OriginForeign-born9.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home86.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.3%
EducationHigh school or higher68.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher40.3%
EducationAdvanced degree14.7%
HouseholdFamily households67.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.66
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.5%
HousingMedian home value$461,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,749
HousingSingle-family detached70.5%
HousingBuilt before 19403.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.2%
HousingVacant units11.0%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.3%
HealthWith a disability11.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet8.2%
CommuteDrove alone72.6%
CommutePublic transit2.0%
CommuteWorked from home14.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$0$0$36,500$0
2024$3,968$5,455$0$36,500$0
2022$183,357$181,869$1,488$36,500$132,533

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-05-19JOHN FLORA FOR CONGRESS24K$250
2022-05-04WINRED24K$-100
2022-03-31GADS PAC24K$2,000
2022-01-10WINRED24K$-250

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-05-19JOHN FLORA FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$250pas2
2022-05-04WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-03-31GADS PACcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-01-10WINREDcontributed_to$-250pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofCRISPI FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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