KILEY, SUSAN M

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2NJ06228
Internal id: f5d08645-0272-4208-9ea3-9a8b0175e216
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-06. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	780,307
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$105,178
Income	Per-capita income	$49,643
Income	In poverty	9.7%
Income	Unemployed	6.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.451
Race	White alone	45.7%
Race	Black alone	11.7%
Race	Asian alone	18.1%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	25.0%
Race	Two or more races	10.9%
Origin	Foreign-born	30.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	58.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	19.2%
Education	High school or higher	67.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	42.6%
Education	Advanced degree	17.2%
Household	Family households	67.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.67
Household	Never married (15+)	37.1%
Housing	Median home value	$464,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,849
Housing	Single-family detached	51.9%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.2%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	5.3%
Housing	Vacant units	5.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.3%
Health	With a disability	10.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.1%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.2%
Commute	Drove alone	61.3%
Commute	Public transit	6.1%
Commute	Worked from home	16.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
2022	$399,477	$399,477	$0	$0	$267,647

Elections

2022 general house · NJ-6 — lost_general

Committees

KILEY FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-04	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-10-31	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-10-31	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-10-31	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-10-31	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-10-26	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	24K	$5,000
2022-10-05	DUANE MORRIS GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE	24K	$1,500
2022-10-04	NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC	24E	$758
2022-08-07	EAGLE FORUM PAC	24K	$500
2022-08-02	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLIT…	24K	$2,500
2022-07-07	NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC	24K	$500
2022-05-02	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLIT…	24K	$2,500
2022-01-14	CITIZENS STRENGTHENING OUR MESSAGE IN THE HOUSE	24K	$5,800

Connected on the graph

Inbound (13)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-11-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-10-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-10-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-10-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-10-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-10-26	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-05	DUANE MORRIS GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-04	NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$758	pas2
2022-08-07	EAGLE FORUM PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-08-02	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-07-07	NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-05-02	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-01-14	CITIZENS STRENGTHENING OUR MESSAGE IN THE HOUSE	contributed_to	$5,800	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	KILEY FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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