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BROTSCHOL, HILLERY

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2NJ11137
Internal id
cc7472ef-dd66-4f41-9e97-c135a0ac3e58
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-11. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation779,403
PeopleMedian age42
IncomeMedian household income$137,244
IncomePer-capita income$72,260
IncomeIn poverty5.0%
IncomeUnemployed5.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.471
RaceWhite alone62.9%
RaceBlack alone5.5%
RaceAsian alone12.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino17.5%
RaceTwo or more races12.4%
OriginForeign-born21.7%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home70.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home12.6%
EducationHigh school or higher77.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher59.2%
EducationAdvanced degree26.3%
HouseholdFamily households70.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.64
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.8%
HousingMedian home value$615,700
HousingMedian gross rent$1,931
HousingSingle-family detached61.2%
HousingBuilt before 19407.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.0%
HousingVacant units3.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)3.0%
HealthWith a disability8.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband95.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.3%
CommuteDrove alone60.8%
CommutePublic transit7.3%
CommuteWorked from home23.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$22,905$13,509$511$0$12,904

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2021-05-29WINRED24K$10
2021-05-25BLACK CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENT24K$200
2021-05-04WINRED24K$50
2021-04-29WINRED24K$3
2021-03-18WINRED24K$7
2021-02-20WINRED24K$2
2021-02-20WINRED24K$1
2021-02-20WINRED24K$2
2021-02-20WINRED24K$1
2021-02-19WINRED24K$2

Connected on the graph

Inbound (10)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2021-05-29WINREDcontributed_to$10pas2
2021-05-25BLACK CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENTcontributed_to$200pas2
2021-05-04WINREDcontributed_to$50pas2
2021-04-29WINREDcontributed_to$3pas2
2021-03-18WINREDcontributed_to$7pas2
2021-02-20WINREDcontributed_to$2pas2
2021-02-20WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-02-20WINREDcontributed_to$2pas2
2021-02-20WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-02-19WINREDcontributed_to$2pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofCITIZENS FOR HILLERY BROTSCHOLβ€”candidate_committees

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