SHOLTY, MORGUN
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H2NV01280- Internal id
4bebdeab-1168-439b-bb69-7e34c2b7c7ad- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NV-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,368 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $69,532 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,325 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 8.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 44.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 37.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 17.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 64.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 26.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.1% |
| Household | Family households | 62.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.63 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $407,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,463 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $116,628 | $116,628 | $0 | $0 | $102,550 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NV-1 β lost_general
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT MORGUN SHOLTY β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $21,000 | $0 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-01 | LIBERTY PAC; THE | support | $15,000 | Door-to-Door Canvassing Program |
| 2022-04-19 | LIBERTY PAC; THE | support | $6,000 | Voter Contact Mail |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-31 | LIBERTY PAC; THE | 24E | $21,000 |
| 2022-05-01 | LIBERTY PAC; THE | 24E | $15,000 |
| 2022-04-19 | LIBERTY PAC; THE | 24E | $6,000 |
| 2022-03-31 | STEVE CARRA FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-03-28 | BAXTER FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-03-28 | NATHAN DAHM FOR US SENATE | 24K | $2,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (8)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-31 | LIBERTY PAC; THE | contributed_to | $21,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-01 | LIBERTY PAC; THE | contributed_to | $15,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-01 | LIBERTY PAC; THE | supports_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-19 | LIBERTY PAC; THE | supports_independently | $6,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-19 | LIBERTY PAC; THE | contributed_to | $6,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | STEVE CARRA FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-28 | NATHAN DAHM FOR US SENATE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-28 | BAXTER FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT MORGUN SHOLTY | β | candidate_committees |