ZIMMERMAN, ROBERT

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2NY03188
Internal id: 4cacc73c-78c2-4c23-820f-e72f1ac80857
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-03. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	770,395
People	Median age	45
Income	Median household income	$139,677
Income	Per-capita income	$69,139
Income	In poverty	5.8%
Income	Unemployed	4.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.479
Race	White alone	56.0%
Race	Black alone	3.6%
Race	Asian alone	23.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	15.2%
Race	Two or more races	9.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	27.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	62.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	10.9%
Education	High school or higher	71.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	53.4%
Education	Advanced degree	25.0%
Household	Family households	74.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.82
Household	Never married (15+)	29.4%
Housing	Median home value	$770,400
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,315
Housing	Single-family detached	66.9%
Housing	Built before 1940	12.9%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.3%
Housing	Vacant units	4.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	2.7%
Health	With a disability	10.6%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.3%
Commute	Drove alone	57.5%
Commute	Public transit	14.4%
Commute	Worked from home	16.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$11,059	$21,531	$0	$0	$0
2022	$3,181,506	$3,171,033	$10,472	$76,000	$2,473,477

Elections

2022 general house · NY-3 — lost_general

Committees

ZIMMERMAN FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$950,665	$0	16

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	support	$12,655	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$39,850	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$505,376	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$220,426	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$39,850	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$39,850	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$39,850	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$1,008	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$12,800	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$6,000	Digital Production - Estimate
2022-11-01	DMFI PAC	support	$1,000	Newspaper Advertising
2022-10-25	DMFI PAC	support	$2,000	Newspaper Advertising
2022-08-21	EQUALITY PAC	support	$7,500	Online Advertisements
2022-08-20	EQUALITY PAC	support	$7,500	Online Advertisements
2022-08-19	EQUALITY PAC	support	$7,500	Online Advertisements
2022-08-18	EQUALITY PAC	support	$7,500	Online Advertisements

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2023-10-18	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	24F	$59
2022-11-29	HEALTHCARE ASSOCIATION OF NEW YORK STATE AND AL…	24K	$2,500
2022-11-08	SYNERGY PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-08	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO	24F	$1,580
2022-11-07	SIERRA CLUB POLITICAL COMMITTEE	24K	$1,500
2022-11-07	JEFFRIES FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-11-07	CITIZENS TO ELECT RICK LARSEN	24K	$1,000
2022-11-07	MILK RIVER PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-07	DEBBIE DINGELL FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2022-11-04	RE-ELECT MCGOVERN COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000
2022-11-04	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA …	24K	$1,000
2022-11-03	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	24K	$500
2022-11-03	COMMITTEE FOR A DEMOCRATIC FUTURE	24K	$1,000
2022-11-03	MAKING A REAL CHANGE PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-03	SCHNEIDER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2022-11-03	BUILDING RELATIONSHIPS IN DIVERSE GEOGRAPHIC EN…	24K	$5,000
2022-11-02	HMP	24E	$12,654
2022-11-02	BLUE HEN FEDERAL PAC	24K	$2,500
2022-11-02	HMP	24E	$39,850
2022-11-01	SILK PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-01	PETE AGUILAR FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-11-01	MARC VEASEY CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000
2022-11-01	LORI TRAHAN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000
2022-11-01	PETE AGUILAR FOR CONGRESS	24K	$-2,000
2022-11-01	HMP	24E	$505,376

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	HMP	supports_independently	$220,426	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$12,655	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$39,850	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$39,850	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$6,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$505,376	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$1,008	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$12,800	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$39,850	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$39,850	fec_ies
2023-10-18	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$59	pas2
2022-11-29	HEALTHCARE ASSOCIATION OF NEW YORK STATE AND ALLIED ASSOCIATIONS' FEDERAL PAC (HANYS FEDERAL PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-08	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$1,580	pas2
2022-11-08	SYNERGY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-07	CITIZENS TO ELECT RICK LARSEN	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-07	SIERRA CLUB POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-11-07	JEFFRIES FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-07	MILK RIVER PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-07	DEBBIE DINGELL FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-04	RE-ELECT MCGOVERN COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-04	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA (LIUNA) PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-03	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-11-03	BUILDING RELATIONSHIPS IN DIVERSE GEOGRAPHIC ENVIRONMENTS PAC (BRIDGE PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-03	SCHNEIDER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-03	PAC FOR A DEMOCRATIC FUTURE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-03	MAKING A REAL CHANGE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	BLUE HEN FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-02	HMP	contributed_to	$39,850	pas2
2022-11-02	HMP	contributed_to	$12,654	pas2
2022-11-01	PROGRESSIVE CHOICES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-01	AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS PAC OF CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC.	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-01	LORI TRAHAN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-01	SILK PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-01	PETE AGUILAR FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2022-11-01	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$1,000	fec_ies
2022-11-01	MARC VEASEY CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-01	PETE AGUILAR FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-01	SCHIFF FOR SENATE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-01	NEW YORK STATE DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$11,936	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$505,376	pas2
2022-11-01	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-31	INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRADES POLITICAL ACTION TOGETHER POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-31	THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-31	SCHIFF FOR SENATE	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2022-10-31	VIBE PAC (VICTORY BY INVESTING BUILDING EMPOWERING)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-30	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$40	pas2
2022-10-30	NEW YORK STATE UNITED TEACHERS (VOTE/COPE)	contributed_to	$16,134	pas2
2022-10-28	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$59	pas2
2022-10-28	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$395	pas2
2022-10-28	HUMANE WORLD ACTION FUND POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-28	DCCC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-28	SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-28	ADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-27	OFFICE AND PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION (OPEIU) JB MOSS VOICE OF THE ELECTORATE (VOTE)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-27	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-27	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND INC PAC, DBA PLANNED PARENTHOOD FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-27	HMP	contributed_to	$220,426	pas2
2022-10-27	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF POSTAL SUPERVISORS PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-26	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$637	pas2
2022-10-26	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$447	pas2
2022-10-26	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$446	pas2
2022-10-26	JASON CROW FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-26	HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-26	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$962	pas2
2022-10-26	BLUE LINE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-25	DMFI PAC	supports_independently	$2,000	fec_ies
2022-10-25	NATIONAL TREASURY EMPLOYEES UNION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-25	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-25	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-25	PROGRESSIVE AMERICANS FOR DEMOCRACY	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-25	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-24	HMP	contributed_to	$39,850	pas2
2022-10-24	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-24	HDR, INC. EMPLOYEE OWNERS PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-23	DEMOCRATS WIN SEATS (DWS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-21	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION	contributed_to	$1,872	pas2
2022-10-21	MANHATTAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (MANHATTAN PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-21	ASPIRE PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-21	1199 SEIU UNITED HEALTHCARE WORKERS EAST FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$185,127	pas2
2022-10-20	COUNCIL OF SCHOOL SUPERVISORS AND ADMINISTRATORS LOCAL 1 AFSA AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-20	CASTOR FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-20	AMERICAN MARITIME OFFICERS VOLUNTARY POLITICAL ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-19	THE SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO STEWARDSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-19	SUPPORTING HOUSE PROBLEM SOLVERS - SHP PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-19	HMP	contributed_to	$39,850	pas2
2022-10-18	DEMOCRACY ACTION NOW PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-18	DUANE MORRIS GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-18	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$395	pas2
2022-10-17	FAIR SHOT PAC	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-10-17	PAUL TONKO FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-17	ASIAN AMERICAN ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-17	ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-17	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$602	pas2
2022-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION	contributed_to	$81	pas2
2022-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION	contributed_to	$51	pas2
2022-10-17	NORTH ATLANTIC STATES REGIONAL COUNCIL OF CARPENTERS	contributed_to	$902	pas2
2022-10-15	CA LUV PAC (CALIFORNIA LEADERSHIP UNITED FOR VICTORY PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-15	INDIVIDUALS DEDICATED TO ETHICS AND SCIENCE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-14	HMP	contributed_to	$12,800	pas2
2022-10-14	HMP	contributed_to	$1,008	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	ZIMMERMAN FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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