BYNOE, SIELA
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY04178- Internal id
6332c0b0-696e-4aea-88db-3ce133e2491d- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 773,177 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $141,082 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $57,503 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.432 |
| Race | White alone | 51.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 17.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 7.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 22.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 24.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 69.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 16.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 44.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 19.9% |
| Household | Family households | 76.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.06 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $648,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,147 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 13.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 60.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 12.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $34,762 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $120,040 | $85,278 | $34,762 | $0 | $110,550 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NY-4 β lost_general
Committees
- BYNOE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-20 | METAL LATHERS LOCAL 46 PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-04-14 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-20 | METAL LATHERS LOCAL 46 PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-14 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BYNOE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |