LANCMAN, RORY
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY09102- Internal id
9c0534a0-5822-410e-955e-4c12cf943b57- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 733,304 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $80,301 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,284 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.478 |
| Race | White alone | 27.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 41.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 26.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 54.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 30.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 22.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 38.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.7% |
| Household | Family households | 66.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.61 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $767,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,947 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 12.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 15.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 11.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 28.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 41.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $440 | $258 | $5,560 | $235,091 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $482 | $5,378 | $235,091 | $0 |
| 2022 | $0 | $639 | $5,860 | $235,091 | $0 |
| 2020 | $0 | $3,750 | $6,499 | $235,091 | $0 |
| 2018 | $5 | $2,601 | $10,249 | $238,091 | $0 |
| 2016 | $86,459 | $75,044 | $12,846 | $240,091 | $84,459 |
| 2014 | $12,550 | $11,591 | $1,431 | $305,091 | $10,000 |
| 2012 | $627,353 | $626,882 | $472 | $314,591 | $368,739 |
Elections
- 2012 general house Β· NY-6 β lost_general
Committees
- LANCMAN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | STAND UP PAC | 24K | $500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | STAND UP PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-01-12 | STAND UP PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LANCMAN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |