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NIOU, YUH-LINE

D · house

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FEC candidate id
H2NY10241
Internal id
3b1801ba-b43c-4151-91e6-5e30a0c6bdb4
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-10. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation733,272
PeopleMedian age36
IncomeMedian household income$117,000
IncomePer-capita income$90,172
IncomeIn poverty16.1%
IncomeUnemployed6.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.580
RaceWhite alone52.5%
RaceBlack alone6.2%
RaceAsian alone19.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino19.6%
RaceTwo or more races10.3%
OriginForeign-born28.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home58.8%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home14.8%
EducationHigh school or higher74.7%
EducationBachelor's or higher61.7%
EducationAdvanced degree27.8%
HouseholdFamily households47.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.24
HouseholdNever married (15+)46.9%
HousingMedian home value$1,229,400
HousingMedian gross rent$2,352
HousingSingle-family detached1.5%
HousingBuilt before 19405.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)7.7%
HousingVacant units12.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)1.6%
HealthWith a disability9.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.4%
CommuteDrove alone7.2%
CommutePublic transit41.8%
CommuteWorked from home26.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$602,838$602,838$0$0$581,836

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$300,000$405,00114

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-08-23NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$10,000Radio Advertisement
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$18,750Image Text Messaging
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$37,500Digital Ads
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$5,000Radio Advertisement
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$15,000Billboard Trucks
2022-08-19NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$50,001Radio Advertisement
2022-08-19NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$43,750Digital Ads
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$18,750Digital Ads
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$32,451Mailer
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$57,933Mailer
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$57,933Mailer
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.oppose$57,933Mailer
2022-08-09WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupport$150,000Digital Ads
2022-08-09WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupport$150,000Digital Ads

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-08-23NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$10,000
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$5,000
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$18,750
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$37,500
2022-08-22WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC24K$900
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$15,000
2022-08-19NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$43,750
2022-08-19NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$50,001
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$32,451
2022-08-17NEW YORK STATE COMMITTEE OF THE WORKING FAMILIE…24K$3,000
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$57,933
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$57,933
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$57,933
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.24A$18,750
2022-08-16IRON PAC24Z$75
2022-08-15ASIAN AMERICAN ACTION FUND24K$2,000
2022-08-09WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC24E$150,000
2022-08-05IRON PAC24Z$75
2022-08-05NEW YORK STATE COMMITTEE OF THE WORKING FAMILIE…24K$16,065
2022-08-04ASIAN AMERICAN FORWARD24K$1,000
2022-08-03NEW YORK STATE COMMITTEE OF THE WORKING FAMILIE…24K$3,000
2022-08-02NEW YORK STATE COMMITTEE OF THE WORKING FAMILIE…24K$15,375
2022-07-05ASIAN AMERICAN FORWARD24K$2,500
2022-06-30WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC24K$4,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (38)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-08-23NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$10,000pas2
2022-08-23NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$10,000fec_ies
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$18,750pas2
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$37,500pas2
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$5,000fec_ies
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$37,500fec_ies
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$18,750fec_ies
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$15,000fec_ies
2022-08-22NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$15,000pas2
2022-08-22WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACcontributed_to$900pas2
2022-08-19NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$50,001fec_ies
2022-08-19NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$43,750fec_ies
2022-08-19NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$50,001pas2
2022-08-19NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$43,750pas2
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$57,933pas2
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$57,933fec_ies
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$32,451fec_ies
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$57,933pas2
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$57,933pas2
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$18,750fec_ies
2022-08-17NEW YORK STATE COMMITTEE OF THE WORKING FAMILIES PARTYcontributed_to$3,000pas2
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$57,933fec_ies
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$18,750pas2
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.opposes_independently$57,933fec_ies
2022-08-17NEW YORK PROGRESSIVE, INC.contributed_to$32,451pas2
2022-08-16IRON PACcontributed_to$75pas2
2022-08-15ASIAN AMERICAN ACTION FUNDcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-08-09WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACcontributed_to$150,000pas2
2022-08-09WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupports_independently$150,000fec_ies
2022-08-09WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACsupports_independently$150,000fec_ies
2022-08-05IRON PACcontributed_to$75pas2
2022-08-05NEW YORK STATE COMMITTEE OF THE WORKING FAMILIES PARTYcontributed_to$16,065pas2
2022-08-04ASIAN AMERICAN FORWARDcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-08-03NEW YORK STATE COMMITTEE OF THE WORKING FAMILIES PARTYcontributed_to$3,000pas2
2022-08-02NEW YORK STATE COMMITTEE OF THE WORKING FAMILIES PARTYcontributed_to$15,375pas2
2022-07-05ASIAN AMERICAN FORWARDcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-06-30WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PACcontributed_to$4,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
principal_candidate_ofYUH-LINE NIOU FOR NEW YORKcandidate_committees

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