RIVERA, CARLINA
D · house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY10324- Internal id
7efddb4d-d0bd-49f9-a416-2441ac7f95ed- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-10. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 733,272 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $117,000 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $90,172 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.580 |
| Race | White alone | 52.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 19.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 19.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 28.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 58.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 14.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 74.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 61.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 27.8% |
| Household | Family households | 47.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.24 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 46.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,229,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,352 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 1.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 7.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 7.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 41.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 26.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $52 | $2,609 | $126 | $105,000 | $0 |
| 2022 | $923,867 | $921,184 | $2,683 | $105,000 | $788,567 |
Elections
- 2022 general house · NY-10 — lost_general
Committees
- CARLINA FOR NEW YORK — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $499,976 | $0 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-17 | NUESTRO PAC | support | $200,000 | Digital Advertising |
| 2022-08-17 | NUESTRO PAC | support | $299,976 | TV Advertising |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-01 | 1199 SEIU UNITED HEALTHCARE WORKERS EAST FEDERA… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-22 | UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNIT… | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-08-20 | OPEN NEW YORK | 24E | $10,000 |
| 2022-08-19 | LATINO VICTORY FUND | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-17 | NUESTRO PAC | 24E | $200,000 |
| 2022-08-17 | TRANSPORT WORKERS UNION OF AMERICA POLITICAL CO… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-17 | NUESTRO PAC | 24E | $299,976 |
| 2022-08-16 | COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT NYDIA M VELAZQUEZ TO CONG… | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-08-16 | CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UN… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-16 | COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT NYDIA M VELAZQUEZ TO CONG… | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-08-16 | COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT NYDIA M VELAZQUEZ TO CONG… | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-08-16 | COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT NYDIA M VELAZQUEZ TO CONG… | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-08-15 | 1199 SEIU UNITED HEALTHCARE WORKERS EAST FEDERA… | 24E | $50,000 |
| 2022-08-02 | DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC) | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-08-01 | PODER PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-06-27 | PROGRESS PAC | 24K | $2,900 |
| 2022-06-27 | PROGRESS PAC | 24K | $2,900 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (19)
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | CARLINA FOR NEW YORK | — | candidate_committees |