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SCHMITT, COLIN J

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2NY18087
Internal id
aca3e4e5-11f6-4fb3-9496-c384a648f3cb
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-18. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation786,484
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$94,063
IncomePer-capita income$47,058
IncomeIn poverty11.6%
IncomeUnemployed5.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.462
RaceWhite alone65.9%
RaceBlack alone10.4%
RaceAsian alone3.0%
RaceHispanic or Latino19.3%
RaceTwo or more races11.8%
OriginForeign-born12.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home77.2%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home12.0%
EducationHigh school or higher63.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher36.6%
EducationAdvanced degree16.4%
HouseholdFamily households64.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.56
HouseholdNever married (15+)35.5%
HousingMedian home value$381,700
HousingMedian gross rent$1,609
HousingSingle-family detached60.7%
HousingBuilt before 19404.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.7%
HousingVacant units7.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.9%
HealthWith a disability12.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.8%
CommuteDrove alone67.6%
CommutePublic transit4.0%
CommuteWorked from home14.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$5,536$7,900$0$0$0
2022$2,062,676$2,060,313$2,363$0$1,394,273

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$35,697$5,661,83548

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”HMPoppose$1,923,976Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$37,000Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$37,000Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$18,348Digital Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$31,500Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$16,222Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$18,500Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$50Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$220,426Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$3,087Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$37,000Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$151,375Television Advertising - Estimate
2022-10-25VOTEVETSoppose$1,809TV Advertising Production
2022-10-25VOTEVETSoppose$15,107TV Advertising Production
2022-10-24VOTEVETSoppose$949,867TV Advertising Buy
2022-10-22SERVICE & INTEGRITY PACoppose$25,914Direct Mail
2022-10-19NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUNDsupport$5,197IE-Schmitt, Colin Direct Mail
2022-10-19SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS P…support$10,000Digital Advertising
2022-10-18AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL…oppose$17,3082022 IE Production cost Invoice for Digital Ads in the NY H…
2022-10-17SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICAsupport$3,000PRODUCTION COST: DIGITAL ADS
2022-10-17SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICAsupport$7,500DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2022-10-13DCCCoppose$128,125Media Buy
2022-10-13AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL…oppose$125,1002022 IE Digital Ad Buy for NY-18 House race.
2022-10-13AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL…oppose$125,1002022 IE Digital Ad Buy for NY-18 House race.
2022-10-11DCCCoppose$121,875Media Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”HMP24A$37,000
2022-12-26WINRED24K$-1
2022-12-26WINRED24K$0
2022-12-22WINRED24K$0
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-2
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-6
2022-12-22WINRED24K$0
2022-12-22WINRED24K$-1
2022-12-18WINRED24K$-18
2022-12-18WINRED24K$-4
2022-12-16WINRED24K$0
2022-12-16WINRED24K$-1
2022-12-10WINRED24K$0
2022-12-10WINRED24K$-34
2022-12-10WINRED24K$-34
2022-12-09WINRED24K$-20
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-2
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-4
2022-12-08WINRED24K$0
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-1
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-6
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-2
2022-12-08WINRED24K$0
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-2
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-2

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”HMPcontributed_to$37,000pas2
β€”HMPopposes_independently$3,087fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$37,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$151,375fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$18,348fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$37,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$31,500fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$50fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$220,426fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$18,500fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$37,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$16,222fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$1,923,976fec_ies
2022-12-26WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-26WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-6pas2
2022-12-18WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-12-18WINREDcontributed_to$-18pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-10WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-10WINREDcontributed_to$-34pas2
2022-12-10WINREDcontributed_to$-34pas2
2022-12-09WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-7pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-6pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-8pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-8pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-8pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-8pas2
2022-12-05WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-11pas2
2022-12-01WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-7pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-22WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-21WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-20WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-19WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-15WINREDcontributed_to$-8pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-6pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-500pas2
2022-11-09WINREDcontributed_to$-17pas2
2022-11-08HMPcontributed_to$50pas2
2022-11-08CLFcontributed_to$7,922pas2
2022-11-08WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-08WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-07WINREDcontributed_to$-34pas2
2022-11-07VOTEVETScontributed_to$250,000pas2
2022-11-07JAKE ELLZEY FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-07WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-07CLFcontributed_to$20,450pas2
2022-11-06WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-05WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-05WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-05CLFcontributed_to$7,921pas2
2022-11-04WINREDcontributed_to$-34pas2
2022-11-04WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-04PATRIOT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-03HMPcontributed_to$151,375pas2

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofSCHMITT FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofSCHMITT FOR NY-18β€”candidate_committees

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