STEWART, HAL
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY22170- Internal id
a9b6e40d-a513-4fbe-aa60-2f74c44c39ab- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-22. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 767,369 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $73,829 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,034 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 77.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.1% |
| Household | Family households | 58.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.27 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $192,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,051 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.8% |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NY-22 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.