FRATTO, MARIO
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY23152- Internal id
97d4a931-263a-40dd-b00c-b89a3986419e- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-24. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,272 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,690 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,503 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.431 |
| Race | White alone | 89.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.2% |
| Household | Family households | 62.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.30 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $172,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $959 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $560,050 | $563,085 | $0 | $0 | $9,470 |
| 2022 | $374,070 | $371,034 | $3,036 | $50,000 | $103,540 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NY-24 β lost_general
Committees
- MARIO FRATTO FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-5,800 |
| 2022-04-26 | KEEP ELECTING NEW TALENT PAC | 24K | $2,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5,800 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-26 | KEEP ELECTING NEW TALENT PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MARIO FRATTO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |