PALADINO, CARL PASQUALE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY23202- Internal id
f42d7acc-c21c-4833-9a62-2d8bc491358c- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-23. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 770,072 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,834 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,154 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 90.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.8% |
| Household | Family households | 62.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.30 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $185,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $929 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $298 | $0 | $2,048,214 | $0 |
| 2022 | $2,084,909 | $2,084,611 | $298 | $2,048,214 | $31,938 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NY-23 β lost_general
Committees
- PALADINO FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $959,192 | 22 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-12 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $16,175 | DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $16,175 | DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $8,000 | PRODUCTION COST: TV |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $184,250 | PLACED MEDIA: TV |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $17,072 | DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $16,800 | PLACED MEDIA: RADIO |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $13,831 | PLACED MEDIA: CONNECTED TV |
| 2022-08-08 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $22,763 | DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| 2022-08-08 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $18,441 | PLACED MEDIA: CONNECTED TV |
| 2022-08-08 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $16,175 | DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE |
| 2022-08-07 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $12,432 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2022-08-07 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $7,689 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2022-08-05 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $15,000 | PRODUCTION COST: TV |
| 2022-08-05 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $262,466 | PLACED MEDIA: TV |
| 2022-08-03 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $18,441 | PLACED MEDIA: CONNECTED TV |
| 2022-08-03 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $26,546 | DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| 2022-08-02 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $16,175 | DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE |
| 2022-08-02 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $3,194 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2022-08-02 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $1,000 | PRODUCTION COST: RADIO |
| 2022-08-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $8,400 | PLACED MEDIA: RADIO |
| 2022-08-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $12,500 | PRODUCTION COST: TV |
| 2022-08-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | oppose | $245,666 | PLACED MEDIA: TV |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (43)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-12 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $16,175 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-12 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $16,175 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $16,175 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $184,250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $8,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $16,800 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $184,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $17,072 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $16,800 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $13,831 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $8,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $13,830 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $16,175 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $17,072 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-08 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $18,441 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-08 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $22,763 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-08 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $16,175 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-08 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $22,762 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-08 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $18,441 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-08 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $16,175 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-07 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $12,432 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-07 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $7,689 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-07 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $7,689 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-05 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $15,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-05 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-05 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $262,466 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-05 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $262,466 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-03 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $26,546 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-03 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $26,546 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-03 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $18,441 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-03 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $18,441 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-02 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $3,194 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-02 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $3,194 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-02 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-02 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $16,175 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-02 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-02 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $16,175 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $8,400 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $245,666 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $245,666 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | opposes_independently | $12,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $12,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-01 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $8,400 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | PALADINO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |