MILLER, WILLIAM E JR
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY29035- Internal id
9dbbe437-39c4-4c5d-855a-f23198175d3e- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | $1,163 | $2,419 | $1,411 | $25,150 | $1,000 |
| 1994 | $221,138 | $219,273 | $2,667 | $27,350 | $181,910 |
| 1992 | $83,924 | $83,110 | $813 | $19,753 | $55,999 |
Elections
Committees
- BILL MILLER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- FRIENDS OF BILL MILLER β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BILL MILLER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF BILL MILLER | β | candidate_committees |