MEADOWS, SAMANTHA

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2OH02127
Internal id: 1741a2f2-a1d9-4d62-8abf-37bc0c8ca4f5
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	787,099
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$66,384
Income	Per-capita income	$35,071
Income	In poverty	15.0%
Income	Unemployed	4.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.456
Race	White alone	92.8%
Race	Black alone	1.9%
Race	Asian alone	0.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	1.6%
Race	Two or more races	3.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	1.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	97.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	0.8%
Education	High school or higher	61.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	21.2%
Education	Advanced degree	7.9%
Household	Family households	66.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.46
Household	Never married (15+)	28.1%
Housing	Median home value	$195,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$896
Housing	Single-family detached	72.2%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.8%
Housing	Vacant units	9.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.5%
Health	With a disability	18.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	87.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	10.5%
Commute	Drove alone	80.8%
Commute	Public transit	0.2%
Commute	Worked from home	9.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$160,266	$160,283	$0	$0	$132,782
2022	$22,925	$28,330	$17	$0	$15,425

Elections

2022 general house · OH-2 — lost_general
2024 general house · OH-2 — lost_general

Committees

SAMANTHA MEADOWS FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-10-28	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-07	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS…	24K	$2,000
2022-09-27	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS…	24K	$2,000
2022-09-08	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS PO…	24K	$1,000
2022-07-22	AMERICA WORKS FEDERAL PAC	24K	$2,500
2022-05-13	SITES FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2021-11-10	THE BLUE INITIATIVE	24K	$456

Connected on the graph

Inbound (7)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-10-28	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-07	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-27	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-08	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-22	AMERICA WORKS FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-05-13	SITES FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-11-10	THE BLUE INITIATIVE	contributed_to	$456	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	SAMANTHA MEADOWS FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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