STAHLEY, LEE R.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2OH03190- Internal id
eadd8c1b-6b8d-4da7-b4ab-deebb3af6338- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 789,553 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,381 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,531 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.488 |
| Race | White alone | 54.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 28.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 83.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 44.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.7% |
| Household | Family households | 53.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.30 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 43.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $301,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,260 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 48.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.4% |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· OH-3 β lost_general
Committees
- STAHLEY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-20 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-20 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-06-20 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | STAHLEY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |