GILBERT, MADISON GESIOTTO

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2OH09163
Internal id: 32e37497-34d4-4d26-874c-eb75c50228a3
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-13. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	783,308
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$70,696
Income	Per-capita income	$41,662
Income	In poverty	12.7%
Income	Unemployed	4.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.470
Race	White alone	76.3%
Race	Black alone	12.3%
Race	Asian alone	3.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	3.0%
Race	Two or more races	7.0%
Origin	Foreign-born	5.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	93.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	1.4%
Education	High school or higher	64.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	34.0%
Education	Advanced degree	12.6%
Household	Family households	60.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.30
Household	Never married (15+)	33.3%
Housing	Median home value	$206,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$980
Housing	Single-family detached	72.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.0%
Housing	Vacant units	6.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.3%
Health	With a disability	13.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.5%
Commute	Drove alone	75.2%
Commute	Public transit	0.8%
Commute	Worked from home	14.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$0	$208,759	$0
2024	$111,656	$114,919	$0	$208,759	$109,257
2022	$2,197,171	$2,193,907	$3,263	$250,000	$1,512,662

Elections

2022 general house · OH-13 — lost_general
2024 general house · OH-13 — lost_general

Committees

MADISON FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
OH-13 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2022 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$714,836	$6,369,522	114

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$6,398	MAILER PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$9,123	CANVASSING
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$7,268	CANVASSING
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$150	CANVASSING
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$59,000	MEDIA PLACEMENT
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$5,238	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$3,445	DOORHANGER PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$20,000	MEDIA PLACEMENT
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$38,000	MEDIA PLACEMENT
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$700	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$1,700	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$1,000	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$6,220	CANVASSING
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$4,250	CANVASSING
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$10,000	MEDIA PLACEMENT
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$500	DIGITAL AD PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$15,212	CANVASSING
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$22,100	CANVASSING
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$1,555	CANVASSING
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$3,000	CANVASSING
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$7,356	CANVASSING
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$35,450	CANVASSING
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$5,362	DOORHANGER PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$3,445	DOORHANGER PRODUCTION CVA ACTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$6,831	MAILER PRODUCTION

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	TRUTH COALITION PAC	24A	$10,000
2022-12-31	GREATER TOMORROW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-1,000
2022-12-26	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-24	WINRED	24K	$-20
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-12-19	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-19	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-19	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-50
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-12-15	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-15	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-15	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-14	KEEPING REPUBLICAN IDEAS STRONG TIMELY & INVENT…	24K	$-1,000
2022-12-14	KEEPING REPUBLICAN IDEAS STRONG TIMELY & INVENT…	24K	$-1,000
2022-12-13	WINRED	24K	$-25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	TRUTH COALITION PAC	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
—	TRUTH COALITION PAC	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$57,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$9,649	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$6,198	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$51,900	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$30,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$3,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$748,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$19,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$830,400	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$748,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$4,250	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$35,450	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,700	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,445	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$5,950	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$6,220	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$500	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$7,300	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$150	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$6,398	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$10,999	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$9,123	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$6,398	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$6,398	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$15,215	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$7,268	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$15,212	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$22,100	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$2,500	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$6,398	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$6,831	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$20,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$6,398	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,445	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,700	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,555	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$6,398	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$7,356	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$38,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$4,049	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$5,362	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$9,123	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$5,238	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$59,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$700	fec_ies
2022-12-31	GREATER TOMORROW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-12-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4	pas2
2022-12-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4	pas2
2022-12-14	KEEPING REPUBLICAN IDEAS STRONG TIMELY & INVENTIVE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-12-14	KEEPING REPUBLICAN IDEAS STRONG TIMELY & INVENTIVE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-206	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	OH-13 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2022	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MADISON FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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