STAPLETON, BAXTER
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2OH10252- Internal id
4f261bfb-defd-4c4f-856f-2fdbf7d50986- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-10. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 786,190 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,677 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,122 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.456 |
| Race | White alone | 72.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.8% |
| Household | Family households | 58.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.28 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $192,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,023 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $8,588 | $9,295 | $0 | $0 | $8,588 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· OH-10 β lost_general
Committees
- BAXTER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-27 | CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHTS PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-27 | CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHTS PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-07-27 | CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHTS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BAXTER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |