MULLIN, MARKWAYNE MR.

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2OK02083
Internal id: f9277cac-56fc-431d-8ac0-d1430088d6be
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OK-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	804,459
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$55,652
Income	Per-capita income	$29,843
Income	In poverty	17.9%
Income	Unemployed	5.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.456
Race	White alone	63.7%
Race	Black alone	3.0%
Race	Asian alone	0.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	6.2%
Race	Two or more races	13.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	2.4%
Language	Speaks English only at home	94.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	3.3%
Education	High school or higher	57.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	19.9%
Education	Advanced degree	6.3%
Household	Family households	66.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.52
Household	Never married (15+)	26.8%
Housing	Median home value	$160,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$839
Housing	Single-family detached	73.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.1%
Housing	Vacant units	17.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.1%
Health	With a disability	21.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	83.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	13.5%
Commute	Drove alone	78.9%
Commute	Public transit	0.2%
Commute	Worked from home	7.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$3,181,184	$1,003,117	$2,361,083	$25,400	$868,061
2024	$1,659,789	$1,531,778	$183,017	$430,251	$471,653
2022	$5,569,955	$6,125,259	$55,006	$1,230,776	$2,825,621
2020	$1,670,651	$1,088,384	$610,310	$0	$364,514
2018	$1,579,828	$1,704,273	$28,043	$0	$512,739
2016	$1,588,434	$1,620,254	$152,334	$0	$561,822
2014	$1,271,636	$1,110,584	$184,154	$73,000	$709,039
2012	$1,732,311	$1,709,208	$23,102	$307,628	$1,113,496

Elections

2012 general house · OK-2 — lost_general
2014 general house · OK-2 — running
2016 general house · OK-2 — running
2018 general house · OK-2 — running
2020 general house · OK-2 — running
2022 general house · OK-2 — lost_general

Committees

MULLIN FOR AMERICA — principal · type S
YOUNG GUNS 2012 ROUND 4 — joint_fundraising · type N

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-02-27	NUTRIEN AG SOLUTIONS EMPLOYEE CITIZENSHIP FUND …	24K	$2,500
2025-12-19	MCDONALDS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,500
2025-12-19	MCDONALDS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,500
2025-12-19	MCDONALDS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-2,500
2025-12-09	AMERICAN PSYCHIATRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTI…	24K	$1,500
2025-11-12	AMERICAN DENTAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION CO…	24K	$1,000
2025-09-29	ROAD TO FREEDOM CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	24K	$2,000
2025-07-11	SENIOR CARE PHARMACY COALITION PAC	24K	$5,000
2025-07-11	AMERICAN DENTAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION CO…	24K	$1,000
2025-06-26	AMERICAN SOYBEAN ASSOCIATION PAC (SOYPAC)	24K	$2,000
2025-06-25	MICHIGAN SUGAR COMPANY GROWERS POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$2,500
2025-06-23	CROP INSURANCE PROFESSIONALS ASSOCIATION PAC-CI…	24K	$2,500
2025-06-18	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$1,500
2025-06-16	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$500
2025-06-16	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$2,000
2025-06-05	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	24K	$1,000
2025-05-28	WILLIAMS AND JENSEN, PLLC POLITICAL ACTION COMM…	24K	$500
2025-05-22	SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE POLIT…	24K	$2,000
2025-05-12	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	24K	$2,500
2025-05-09	AUTO CARE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,500
2025-04-07	VICTORY AND NATION PAC	24K	$1,000
2025-03-31	FLUOR CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (F…	24K	$1,500
2025-03-26	CROP INSURANCE PROFESSIONALS ASSOCIATION PAC-CI…	24K	$2,500
2025-03-24	AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC	24K	$5,000
2025-03-20	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$1,500

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee MULLIN FOR AMERICA.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
HUNT, WOODY	HUNT COMPANIES INC. · CHAIRMAN	EL PASO, TX	1	$3,500
FEIN, MARTIN	MARTIN FEIN INTERESTS, LTD. · OWNER/DEVELOPER	HOUSTON, TX	1	$2,000
SCHALL, JAMES E	RETIRED · RETIRED	HUNTINGDON, PA	3	$180
SINANDER, MARGO WHITNEY	RETIRED · RETIRED	CEDAR GLEN, CA	8	$88
DUNCAN, CHARLES	RETIRED · RETIRED	PAWLEYS ISLAND, SC	3	$75
NESTLEROTH, DAVID	RETIRED · RETIRED	RESTON, VA	6	$66
KENNEDY, PHYLLIS	RETIRED · RETIRED	STEPHENVILLE, TX	4	$59
RICHARDSON, LINDA	RETIRED · RETIRED	SCOTTSDALE, AZ	13	$57
KOMADA, ANNA	RETIRED · RETIRED	SPRING HILL, FL	4	$55
PAYNE, WILMUTH	RETIRED · RETIRED	HAMILTON, AL	4	$38
DOVER, BRENDA	DOVER INSURANCE AGENCY PC · OFFICE	MONTGOMERY, TX	1	$30
DANZY, RUSSELL	RETIRED · RETIRED	PROVENCAL, LA	3	$27
COX, CHARLES A JR.	RETIRED · RETIRED	MADILL, OK	1	$25
DANLY, VERA	RETIRED · RETIRED	PENSACOLA, FL	3	$25
MCCANN, WILLIAM	RETIRED · RETIRED	DEWEY, AZ	1	$25
ILL, RICHARD	RETIRED · RETIRED	BERWYN, NY	2	$20
SCRUGGS, TIANA	RETIRED · RETIRED	AUSTIN, TX	1	$20
LYNCH, JOBETH	RETIRED · RETIRED	WILLIAMSBURG, VA	4	$16
SMITH, ELIZABETH J	RETIRED · RETIRED	OCALA, FL	2	$12
ARNOLD, BRENDA S	RETIRED · RETIRED	CONROE, TX	1	$9
CULOTTA, ROMELLE	RETIRED · RETIRED	SHERMAN OAKS, CA	3	$9
DAUGHERTY, KATHY	RETIRED · RETIRED	NEWBURGH, IN	1	$9
MAIN, ROBERT	RETIRED · RETIRED	DENVER, CO	3	$8
BOLINGER, REBA	RETIRED · RETIRED	LITITZ, PA	1	$5
TAYLOR, JILL	RETIRED · RETIRED	MISSOULA, MT	1	$4

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-02-27	NUTRIEN AG SOLUTIONS EMPLOYEE CITIZENSHIP FUND POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE ('NUTRIEN CITIZENSHIP FUND PAC')	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-19	MCDONALDS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-19	MCDONALDS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2025-12-19	MCDONALDS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-09	AMERICAN PSYCHIATRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2025-11-12	AMERICAN DENTAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-09-29	ROAD TO FREEDOM CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-07-11	AMERICAN DENTAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-07-11	SENIOR CARE PHARMACY COALITION PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-06-26	AMERICAN SOYBEAN ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SOYPAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-06-25	MICHIGAN SUGAR COMPANY GROWERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-06-23	CROP INSURANCE PROFESSIONALS ASSOCIATION PAC-CIPA PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-06-18	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GENERAL DYNAMICS EMPLOYEE PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2025-06-16	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GENERAL DYNAMICS EMPLOYEE PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-06-16	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GENERAL DYNAMICS EMPLOYEE PAC)	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2025-06-05	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-05-28	WILLIAMS AND JENSEN, PLLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2025-05-22	SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-05-12	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-05-09	AUTO CARE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-04-07	VICTORY AND NATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-03-31	FLUOR CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (FLUOR PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2025-03-26	CROP INSURANCE PROFESSIONALS ASSOCIATION PAC-CIPA PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-03-24	AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-03-20	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GENERAL DYNAMICS EMPLOYEE PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2025-03-18	MICHIGAN SUGAR COMPANY GROWERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-02-24	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GENERAL DYNAMICS EMPLOYEE PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2025-02-17	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-12-29	VICKY PAC	contributed_to	$-2,100	pas2
2022-12-29	VICKY PAC	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-12-04	CALPINE LLC PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-11-07	AMERICAN CHEMISTRY COUNCIL PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-03	AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-02	GPA MIDSTREAM ASSOCIATION/GPSA ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-28	AMERICAN HOTEL AND LODGING ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE ('HOTELPAC')	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-27	MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (MORPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-26	ELANCO US INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE ('ELANCO PAC')	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-26	AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-10-21	NATIONAL APARTMENT ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-20	THE FARM CREDIT COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-19	UNITI GROUP INC. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-10-17	FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE HOLDINGS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-17	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-04	LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-09-30	BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (BSC PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-09-29	CENTENE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (CENTENE PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-29	COHERUS BIOSCIENCES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-09-28	INTERNATIONAL FRANCHISE ASSOCIATION FRANCHISING POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE INC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-28	U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-27	NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCBA-PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-27	ROCKET LIMITED PARTNERSHIP PAC (ROCKET PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-27	CHENIERE ENERGY, INC. PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-26	BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM USA CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (BOEHRINGER PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-26	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS	contributed_to	$200	pas2
2022-09-23	AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-23	AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION PAC (BANKPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-22	FEDEX CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-21	AIRCRAFT OWNERS AND PILOTS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-09	FRIENDS OF JOHN THUNE	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-09-08	SPIRIT AEROSYSTEMS, INC. PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-08	REYNOLDS AMERICAN INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE; RAI PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-07	PHILLIPS 66 PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-01	AUTO CARE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-08-31	AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-23	CHENIERE ENERGY, INC. PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-08-01	PLAINS ALL AMERICAN GP LLC PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-07-29	SOUTHERN COMPANY EMPLOYEES PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-07-29	UNITI GROUP INC. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-29	SOUTHERN NUCLEAR OPERATING COMPANY, INC. PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-07-22	NATIONAL CONFECTIONERS ASSOCIATION OF THE UNITED STATES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (CANDY PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-07-21	AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-07-06	SENIOR CARE PHARMACY COALITION PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-07-05	HEALTH CARE SERVICE CORPORATION EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-06-30	WEYERHAEUSER COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-29	CROP INSURANCE PROFESSIONALS ASSOCIATION PAC-CIPA PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-27	SOUTHERN COMPANY EMPLOYEES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-16	BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-06-09	GARRET GRAVES FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-08	SENIOR CARE PHARMACY COALITION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-08	ACADIA HEALTHCARE COMPANY INC. FEDPAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-06-06	AMERICAN OSTEOPATHIC INFORMATION ASSOCIATION - OSTEOPATHIC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-06-06	AMERICAN OSTEOPATHIC INFORMATION ASSOCIATION - OSTEOPATHIC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-02	LIBERTY FUND; THE	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-06-02	NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NEXSTAR PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-02	LIBERTY FUND; THE	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-05-09	CERNER CORPORATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-09	ARRAY DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-05-09	FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE HOLDINGS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-05-04	DOMESTIC ENERGY PRODUCERS ALLIANCE PAC (DEPA PAC)	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-05-04	CERNER CORPORATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-28	FORD MOTOR COMPANY CIVIC ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-04-27	HEARTDOCPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-19	AUTO CARE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-04-13	JAM PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-11	WEYERHAEUSER COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-04-11	WEYERHAEUSER COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-3,000	pas2
2022-04-08	VICKY PAC	contributed_to	$2,100	pas2
2022-04-08	VICKY PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-04-05	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-03-30	AMERICAN OSTEOPATHIC INFORMATION ASSOCIATION - OSTEOPATHIC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	YOUNG GUNS 2012 ROUND 4	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MULLIN FOR AMERICA	—		candidate_committees

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