HARDER, KATHLEEN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2OR06074- Internal id
46febbb4-cd8b-4b10-8608-9804de1d3d0c- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 713,801 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $87,618 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,665 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.443 |
| Race | White alone | 70.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 21.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 14.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.4% |
| Household | Family households | 65.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.57 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $475,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,569 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 60.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $18 | $6,214 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $480,113 | $473,917 | $6,196 | $211,325 | $236,433 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· OR-6 β lost_general
Committees
- KATHLEEN HARDER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-29 | AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION C⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-03-23 | AMERICAN COLLEGE OF OB-GYNS PAC (OB-GYN PAC) | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-03-22 | AMERICAN COLLEGE OF PHYSICIAN SERVICES INC PAC;β¦ | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-29 | AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-23 | AMERICAN COLLEGE OF OB-GYNS PAC (OB-GYN PAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-22 | AMERICAN COLLEGE OF PHYSICIAN SERVICES INC PAC; AKA ACP SERVICES PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KATHLEEN HARDER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |