AVERY, CAROLINE
L Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2PA01123- Internal id
40fd7d5f-07f2-4b62-a155-8d193b148fe9- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 767,357 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $113,911 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $58,380 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.446 |
| Race | White alone | 80.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 10.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 71.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 44.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.1% |
| Household | Family households | 71.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.57 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $440,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,592 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 61.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $8,376 | $7,219 | $1,156 | $0 | $4,270 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· PA-1 β lost_general
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT CAROLINE AVERY TO CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-31 | LIBERTARIAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE, INC. | 24K | $4,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-31 | LIBERTARIAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT CAROLINE AVERY TO CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |