HOLLISTER, ROBERT MICHAEL III
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2PA11114- Internal id
9437528c-01c6-4458-9b32-0f822dbcd83f- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-11. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 772,863 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $87,221 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,081 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.422 |
| Race | White alone | 83.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.4% |
| Household | Family households | 69.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.54 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $289,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,328 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 59.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $316,547 | $316,797 | $0 | $0 | $289,318 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· PA-11 β lost_general
Committees
- HOLLISTER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $4,571 | $0 | 18 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $14 | advertisement in dinner program |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $429 | Digital and print newspaper advertising |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $572 | digital and print newspaper advertising |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $597 | Digital and print newspaper advertising |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $101 | newspaper advertising |
| 2022-09-29 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $540 | digital and print newspaper advertising |
| 2022-09-27 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $278 | digital and newspaper advertising |
| 2022-09-23 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $417 | Digital and Newspaper Advertisements |
| 2022-09-23 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $433 | digital and newspaper advertising |
| 2022-09-23 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $417 | Digital and Newspaper Advertisements |
| 2022-09-22 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $145 | digital advertisement |
| 2022-09-22 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $145 | digital advertisement |
| 2022-09-08 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $56 | digital advertisement |
| 2022-09-08 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $199 | digital advertisement |
| 2022-09-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $44 | newspaper advertisement |
| 2022-09-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $44 | newspaper advertisement |
| 2022-08-30 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $69 | newspaper advertisement |
| 2022-08-30 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | support | $69 | newspaper advertisement |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (68)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-28 | AFSCME COUNCIL 13 | contributed_to | $4,178 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-28 | AFSCME COUNCIL 13 | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $4,178 | 24F | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-26 | KEYSTONE AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | KEYSTONE AMERICA PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-19 | AFSCME COUNCIL 13 | contributed_to | $1,277 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-19 | PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC | contributed_to | $205 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-19 | PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $205 | 24A | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-19 | AFSCME COUNCIL 13 | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,277 | 24F | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-18 | TRANSPORT WORKERS UNION OF AMERICA POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-18 | TRANSPORT WORKERS UNION OF AMERICA POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-08 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $468 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-08 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $468 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $14 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $101 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $596 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $428 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $596 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $101 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $429 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $572 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $572 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $572 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $428 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $101 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $13 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $597 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $13 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-03 | NEA FUND FOR CHILDREN AND PUBLIC EDUCATION | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-03 | NEA FUND FOR CHILDREN AND PUBLIC EDUCATION | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-30 | PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $40 | 24A | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-30 | AFSCME COUNCIL 13 | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $8,265 | 24F | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-30 | AFSCME COUNCIL 13 | contributed_to | $8,265 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-30 | PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC | contributed_to | $40 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-29 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $540 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-29 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $540 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-29 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $540 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-28 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-28 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-27 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $277 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-27 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $278 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-27 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $277 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-23 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $417 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-23 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $433 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-23 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $416 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-23 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $433 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-23 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $416 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-23 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $433 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-23 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $417 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-22 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $145 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-22 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $145 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-22 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $145 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-22 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $145 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-08 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $199 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-08 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $199 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-08 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $56 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-08 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $199 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $44 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $44 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $44 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-05 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $44 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-09-02 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-02 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-08-30 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $69 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-08-30 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | contributed_to | $69 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-30 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $69 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-30 | DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA | supports_independently | $69 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-01-20 | BLUE HEN FEDERAL PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-20 | BLUE HEN FEDERAL PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HOLLISTER FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |