LEWIS, WILLIAM A JR

L · house

FEC candidate id: H2PA18036
Internal id: 43c1de9e-d2cf-4f2e-a552-571c9cb922df

Elections

1982 general house · PA-18 — lost_general

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
2025-09-03	testified_at_hearing	hearing:5fafa191	—		congress-hearing-witness

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