HUMBERT, THOMAS MATTHEW
I Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H2PA19034- Internal id
121455de-ef97-4ece-b9c0-195b30183397- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1998 | $0 | $1,434 | $0 | $38,974 | $0 |
| 1996 | $90 | $0 | $1,434 | $40,408 | $90 |
| 1994 | $0 | $0 | $1,343 | $40,408 | $0 |
| 1992 | $123,830 | $122,486 | $1,343 | $40,408 | $69,439 |
Elections
- 1992 general house Β· PA-19 β lost_general
Committees
- TOM HUMBERT FOR CONGRESS AND/OR CITIZENS FOR TOM HUMBERT COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | TOM HUMBERT FOR CONGRESS AND/OR CITIZENS FOR TOM HUMBERT COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |