BURNS, MARK
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2SC04147- Internal id
9bd8ef1d-c3d9-4d3a-9bbf-7b7125d926d2- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), SC-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 750,357 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $62,661 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,752 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 73.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.9% |
| Household | Family households | 66.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $219,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $940 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 79.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $43,705 | $44,896 | $1,366 | $1,017,561 | $5 |
| 2024 | $789,646 | $788,435 | $2,557 | $985,457 | $39,146 |
| 2022 | $250,045 | $248,699 | $1,346 | $109,591 | $150,045 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· SC-4 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· SC-3 β running
- 2024 general house Β· SC-3 β lost_general
Committees
- MARK BURNS FOR US CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $197,250 | $498,080 | 25 |
| 2022 | $39,912 | $0 | 3 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-29 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $10,000 | GOTV PHONE CALLS |
| 2024-06-25 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $2,824 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-24 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | oppose | $3,227 | TELEPHONE SERVICES |
| 2024-06-24 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | oppose | $3,227 | TELEPHONE SERVICES |
| 2024-06-24 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $2,882 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-24 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $10,000 | GOTV PHONE CALLS |
| 2024-06-23 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $3,597 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-21 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $2,000 | MEDIA PRODUCTION / MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-06-21 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $10,000 | GOTV PHONE CALLS |
| 2024-06-21 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $3,025 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-21 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $3,817 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-19 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $3,038 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-18 | OUR AMERICAN CENTURY | support | $9,250 | DIGITAL MEDIA |
| 2024-06-18 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $30,775 | CREATIVE DESIGN SERVICES / PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-06-18 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $24,180 | CREATIVE DESIGN SERVICES / PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-06-18 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $4,166 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-18 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $12,090 | CREATIVE DESIGN SERVICES / PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-06-17 | OUR AMERICAN CENTURY | support | $50,000 | MEDIA |
| 2024-06-17 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $3,286 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-15 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $3,972 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-15 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $3,972 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-06-14 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $8,000 | MEDIA PRODUCTION / MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-06-14 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | oppose | $349,999 | MEDIA PRODUCTION & ADVERTISEMENT |
| 2024-06-03 | OUR AMERICAN CENTURY | support | $38,000 | MEDIA |
| 2024-05-17 | OUR AMERICAN CENTURY | support | $100,000 | MEDIA |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-06 | SAGEBRUSH REBELLION PAC | 24E | $14,938 |
| 2022-06-02 | SAGEBRUSH REBELLION PAC | 24E | $20,973 |
| 2022-05-31 | SAGEBRUSH REBELLION PAC | 24E | $4,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (31)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-29 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-25 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $2,824 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-24 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $2,882 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-24 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $3,227 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-24 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-24 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $3,227 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-23 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $3,597 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-21 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $2,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-21 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $3,817 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-21 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $3,025 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-21 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-19 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $3,038 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-18 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $12,090 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-18 | OUR AMERICAN CENTURY | supports_independently | $9,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-18 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $4,166 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-18 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $24,180 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-18 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $30,775 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-17 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $3,286 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-17 | OUR AMERICAN CENTURY | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-15 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $3,972 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-15 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $3,972 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $8,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $349,999 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-03 | OUR AMERICAN CENTURY | supports_independently | $38,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-17 | OUR AMERICAN CENTURY | supports_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-06 | SAGEBRUSH REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $14,938 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-06 | SAGEBRUSH REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $14,939 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-02 | SAGEBRUSH REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $20,973 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-02 | SAGEBRUSH REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $20,973 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-31 | SAGEBRUSH REBELLION PAC | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-31 | SAGEBRUSH REBELLION PAC | supports_independently | $4,000 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MARK BURNS FOR US CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |