HERSETH SANDLIN, STEPHANIE M
D Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H2SD00092- Internal id
84049b8e-b261-4b3f-94a0-6b4041bad1a0- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $1,300 | $3,924 | $0 | $24,000 | $1,300 |
| 2010 | $2,086,660 | $2,180,569 | $2,624 | $24,000 | $903,640 |
| 2008 | $1,457,703 | $1,571,742 | $96,533 | $0 | $608,251 |
| 2006 | $1,525,611 | $1,332,101 | $210,571 | $0 | $561,577 |
| 2004 | $4,031,021 | $4,026,596 | $17,061 | $36,480 | $2,648,358 |
| 2002 | $1,558,632 | $1,545,995 | $12,636 | $0 | $1,045,198 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- FRONTLINE DEMOCRATS β joint_fundraising Β· type X
- SOUTH DAKOTA FIRST β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- SOUTH DAKOTA VICTORY FUND-STEPHANIE HERSETH β principal Β· type H
- STEPHANIE HERSETH SANDLIN FOR SOUTH DAKOTA β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (4)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SOUTH DAKOTA FIRST | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | FRONTLINE DEMOCRATS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | SOUTH DAKOTA VICTORY FUND-STEPHANIE HERSETH | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | STEPHANIE HERSETH SANDLIN FOR SOUTH DAKOTA | β | candidate_committees |