LEE, TIMOTHY BRUCE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2TN05420- Internal id
b3d6d487-635f-443f-a22f-00612884f516- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TN-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 796,623 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $93,904 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,402 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.482 |
| Race | White alone | 70.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 47.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.8% |
| Household | Family households | 66.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.50 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $457,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,622 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $49,456 | $38,371 | $11,085 | $44,850 | $3,356 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· TN-5 β lost_general
Committees
- TIMOTHY LEE FOR CONGRESS LLC β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | 24K | $-1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | TIMOTHY LEE FOR CONGRESS LLC | β | candidate_committees |