HARPER, JOHN EDWARD SR.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2TX04140- Internal id
144ca55b-421c-4faf-8a6b-274c3fc574ce- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 823,011 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $97,860 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,872 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.462 |
| Race | White alone | 62.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 12.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 77.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 44.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.1% |
| Household | Family households | 69.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.64 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $393,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,635 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 22.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $113,734 | $113,734 | $0 | $99,035 | $3,973 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· TX-4 β lost_general
Committees
- HARPER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-01 | HARPER FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $382 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-01 | HARPER FOR CONGRESS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $382 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-02-01 | HARPER FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $382 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HARPER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |