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BATES, BETSY

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2TX08190
Internal id
ef2992b0-34f6-445a-b752-252571a6f544
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-08. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation846,118
PeopleMedian age36
IncomeMedian household income$90,294
IncomePer-capita income$40,596
IncomeIn poverty10.9%
IncomeUnemployed5.9%
IncomeGini inequality index0.436
RaceWhite alone51.7%
RaceBlack alone12.5%
RaceAsian alone6.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino32.6%
RaceTwo or more races18.5%
OriginForeign-born19.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home66.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home24.5%
EducationHigh school or higher59.0%
EducationBachelor's or higher33.7%
EducationAdvanced degree11.4%
HouseholdFamily households77.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.90
HouseholdNever married (15+)28.9%
HousingMedian home value$298,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,587
HousingSingle-family detached74.0%
HousingBuilt before 19400.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)4.9%
HousingVacant units8.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.8%
HealthWith a disability11.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.5%
CommuteDrove alone71.2%
CommutePublic transit0.9%
CommuteWorked from home14.6%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-01-28A STRONGER TEXAS FUND24A$4,300
2022-01-20A STRONGER TEXAS FUND24A$2,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-01-28A STRONGER TEXAS FUNDcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$4,30024Afec_pas2
2022-01-28A STRONGER TEXAS FUNDcontributed_to$4,300pas2
2022-01-20A STRONGER TEXAS FUNDcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$2,00024Afec_pas2
2022-01-20A STRONGER TEXAS FUNDcontributed_to$2,000pas2

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