O'ROURKE, ROBERT BETO
D Β· house Β· bioguide O000170
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- FEC candidate id
H2TX16185- Internal id
0453b026-5246-4598-bd95-8119f6ac3938- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-16. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 776,702 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $60,388 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $29,243 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.469 |
| Race | White alone | 30.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 82.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 45.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 33.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 65.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 52.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.0% |
| Household | Family households | 70.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.82 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $185,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,082 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $701,417 | $986,233 | $0 | $0 | $2,285 |
| 2018 | $80,344,836 | $80,458,720 | $284,816 | $0 | $80,089,488 |
| 2016 | $590,656 | $353,785 | $398,700 | $0 | $585,075 |
| 2014 | $504,422 | $409,513 | $161,829 | $0 | $321,870 |
| 2012 | $685,661 | $618,526 | $66,920 | $0 | $588,930 |
Elections
- 2012 general house Β· TX-16 β won
- 2014 general house Β· TX-16 β won
- 2016 general house Β· TX-16 β won
- 2018 general house Β· TX-16 β lost_general
Committees
- BETO FOR TEXAS β principal Β· type S
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BETO FOR TEXAS | β | candidate_committees |