GARCIA, CASSANDRA
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2TX28149- Internal id
19aa12e3-e2db-47e8-b626-d1a936b6d98d- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-28. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 789,743 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $65,728 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $28,280 |
| Income | In poverty | 19.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.449 |
| Race | White alone | 35.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 75.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 45.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 43.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 55.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 49.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 21.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 6.7% |
| Household | Family households | 73.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.03 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $201,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,132 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 6.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $967 | $85,266 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $3,485,707 | $3,401,409 | $84,299 | $0 | $2,986,197 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· TX-28 β lost_general
Committees
- CASSY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- GARCIA FOR TX-28 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $590,711 | $8,485,499 | 72 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | oppose | $9,250 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $6,000 | Digital Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $8,475 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $6,000 | Digital Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $281,460 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $13,243 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $1,124,325 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $74,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $1,124,387 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $150 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $74,800 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $40,490 | Digital Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $17,125 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $445,132 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | CHC BOLD PAC | oppose | $15,000 | TV & Digital Ad Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $763,509 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $365,358 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $49,849 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $74,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | support | $1,500 | Media Production |
| β | HMP | oppose | $23,375 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $9,593 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $50 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | support | $8,760 | Media Placement |
| β | HMP | oppose | $74,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | 24E | $8,760 |
| β | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | 24E | $1,500 |
| β | HMP | 24A | $17,125 |
| β | HMP | 24A | $49,849 |
| β | CHC BOLD PAC | 24A | $15,000 |
| β | STARS AND STRIPES FOREVER PAC | 24E | $9,400 |
| 2022-12-31 | WINRED | 24K | $-12 |
| 2022-12-31 | TOMORROW IS MEANINGFUL PAC | 24K | $-5,000 |
| 2022-12-31 | WINRED | 24K | $-34 |
| 2022-12-31 | WINRED | 24K | $-12 |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-11 |
| 2022-12-29 | WINRED | 24K | $-30 |
| 2022-12-29 | WINRED | 24K | $-40 |
| 2022-12-29 | WINRED | 24K | $-24 |
| 2022-12-29 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-19 |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-30 |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-30 |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-12-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-33 |
| 2022-12-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-30 |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | CHC BOLD PAC | contributed_to | $15,000 | pas2 | |
| β | HMP | contributed_to | $17,125 | pas2 | |
| β | HMP | contributed_to | $49,849 | pas2 | |
| β | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | contributed_to | $8,760 | pas2 | |
| β | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| β | STARS AND STRIPES FOREVER PAC | contributed_to | $9,400 | pas2 | |
| β | STARS AND STRIPES FOREVER PAC | supports_independently | $9,400 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $11,939 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $281,460 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $49,849 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $23,375 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $50 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $6,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $365,358 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $74,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $8,475 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $13,243 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $445,132 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $17,125 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $74,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $1,124,325 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $74,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $9,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $1,124,387 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $9,408 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $74,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $6,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $74,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $24,300 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $763,509 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $40,490 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $9,593 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $74,800 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $150 | fec_ies | |
| β | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | supports_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | supports_independently | $8,760 | fec_ies | |
| β | CHC BOLD PAC | opposes_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-12-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-12 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-12 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-34 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-31 | TOMORROW IS MEANINGFUL PAC | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-11 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-40 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-24 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-19 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-33 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-4 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-4 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-9 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-9 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-17 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-9 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-8 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-17 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-12 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | GARCIA FOR TX-28 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CASSY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |