JONES, HERBERT CARROLL MR. JR.
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2VA01124- Internal id
e24a5e7b-6890-4202-833b-a41c6dbffded- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 804,410 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $104,610 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,982 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.443 |
| Race | White alone | 71.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 47.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.0% |
| Household | Family households | 70.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.52 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 26.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $407,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,644 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 0.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $140,867 | $155,271 | $266,278 | $0 | $130,367 |
| 2022 | $335,709 | $65,952 | $270,732 | $0 | $330,333 |
Elections
Committees
- JONES, HERB (US HOUSE) β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $1,731 | $0 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | support | $122 | Stickers |
| β | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | support | $1,609 | Yard Signs |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-14 | SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION | 24E | $10 |
| 2022-10-13 | AFL-CIO | 24F | $1 |
| 2022-10-12 | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | 24E | $1,608 |
| 2022-10-12 | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | 24E | $122 |
| 2022-10-07 | AFL-CIO | 24F | $11 |
| 2022-09-12 | AFL-CIO | 24F | $17 |
| 2022-08-08 | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-05-24 | DOGWOOD PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (10)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | supports_independently | $122 | fec_ies | |
| β | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | supports_independently | $1,609 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-14 | SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-13 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-12 | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | contributed_to | $1,608 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-12 | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | contributed_to | $122 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $11 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-12 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $17 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-08 | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-24 | DOGWOOD PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JONES, HERB (US HOUSE) | β | candidate_committees |