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ZEVGOLIS, ANTHONY JAMES "TONY"

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2VA04029
Internal id
335f00bb-1087-4b12-bc47-058a57167845
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-04. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation796,326
PeopleMedian age37
IncomeMedian household income$70,751
IncomePer-capita income$39,642
IncomeIn poverty13.5%
IncomeUnemployed5.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.455
RaceWhite alone42.8%
RaceBlack alone41.5%
RaceAsian alone2.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino10.4%
RaceTwo or more races7.8%
OriginForeign-born8.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home88.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home8.0%
EducationHigh school or higher61.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher33.0%
EducationAdvanced degree12.6%
HouseholdFamily households57.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.34
HouseholdNever married (15+)41.8%
HousingMedian home value$285,900
HousingMedian gross rent$1,354
HousingSingle-family detached62.4%
HousingBuilt before 19406.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.0%
HousingVacant units8.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.1%
HealthWith a disability14.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.7%
CommuteDrove alone70.4%
CommutePublic transit1.5%
CommuteWorked from home15.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
1998$19,254$27,137$0$0$0
1996$10,501$2,878$7,883$27,138$3,559
1994$1,368$1,198$262$26,595$100
1992$82,161$82,068$94$26,399$36,039

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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