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KEENEY, TAYLOR

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2VA07162
Internal id
6196969c-8a98-41af-98a5-38a254c060b7
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-07. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation806,870
PeopleMedian age37
IncomeMedian household income$113,817
IncomePer-capita income$47,986
IncomeIn poverty7.3%
IncomeUnemployed4.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.399
RaceWhite alone52.9%
RaceBlack alone20.3%
RaceAsian alone5.2%
RaceHispanic or Latino17.9%
RaceTwo or more races12.3%
OriginForeign-born16.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home77.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home13.1%
EducationHigh school or higher63.0%
EducationBachelor's or higher37.7%
EducationAdvanced degree15.1%
HouseholdFamily households73.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.87
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.7%
HousingMedian home value$438,000
HousingMedian gross rent$1,813
HousingSingle-family detached68.3%
HousingBuilt before 19401.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.0%
HousingVacant units4.9%
ServiceVeterans (18+)12.9%
HealthWith a disability10.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.9%
CommuteDrove alone68.2%
CommutePublic transit1.9%
CommuteWorked from home16.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$187,053$187,053$0$0$184,701

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-09-09INNOVATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$-2,500
2022-01-05WINRED24K$-96
2022-01-05WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-01-05WINRED24K$-2
2022-01-05WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-01-05WINRED24K$-600
2021-12-01WINRED24K$-50
2021-11-29INNOVATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$2,500
2021-11-19WINRED24K$-25
2021-09-24WINRED24K$-2,000
2021-08-12WINRED24K$-1
2021-08-05WINRED24K$-1
2021-08-05WINRED24K$-1
2021-07-29WINRED24K$-1
2021-07-22WINRED24K$-1
2021-07-22WINRED24K$-1
2021-07-13WINRED24K$-1
2021-07-13WINRED24K$-1
2021-07-13WINRED24K$-1
2021-07-13WINRED24K$-1
2021-07-13WINRED24K$-1

Connected on the graph

Inbound (21)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-09-09INNOVATION FUNDcontributed_to$-2,500pas2
2022-01-05WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-01-05WINREDcontributed_to$-96pas2
2022-01-05WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-01-05WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-01-05WINREDcontributed_to$-600pas2
2021-12-01WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-11-29INNOVATION FUNDcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2021-11-19WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-09-24WINREDcontributed_to$-2,000pas2
2021-08-12WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-08-05WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-08-05WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-07-29WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-07-22WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-07-22WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-07-13WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-07-13WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-07-13WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-07-13WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-07-13WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofTAYLOR KEENEY FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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