HILL, NATASHA
D · house
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- FEC candidate id
H2WA05105- Internal id
11bd4b69-f79d-48f2-9e82-dd3764f896c6- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 788,007 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,273 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,316 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.457 |
| Race | White alone | 81.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.0% |
| Household | Family households | 61.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.43 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $393,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,212 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $377,499 | $377,499 | $0 | $0 | $347,144 |
Elections
- 2022 general house · WA-5 — lost_general
Committees
- NATASHA HILL — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $625 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-09 | FUSE WASHINGTON | support | $625 | Staff Services - Progressive Voter Guide |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-27 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P… | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-10-20 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS… | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-10-11 | COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITI… | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-08-23 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-07-27 | OFFICE AND PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL… | 24K | $2,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (6)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-27 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-11 | COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-23 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-27 | OFFICE AND PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION (OPEIU) JB MOSS VOICE OF THE ELECTORATE (VOTE) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-09 | FUSE WASHINGTON | supports_independently | $625 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | NATASHA HILL | — | candidate_committees |