VAN SOMEREN, MIKE

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2WI05275
Internal id: 58774844-cd57-4c90-a948-954c3a864f12
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WI-05. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	742,808
People	Median age	43
Income	Median household income	$95,803
Income	Per-capita income	$52,429
Income	In poverty	6.1%
Income	Unemployed	2.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.433
Race	White alone	87.0%
Race	Black alone	1.6%
Race	Asian alone	3.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	6.3%
Race	Two or more races	6.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	4.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	92.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	3.3%
Education	High school or higher	66.1%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	40.9%
Education	Advanced degree	13.6%
Household	Family households	65.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.38
Household	Never married (15+)	28.0%
Housing	Median home value	$357,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,219
Housing	Single-family detached	67.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.0%
Housing	Vacant units	4.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.9%
Health	With a disability	10.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.7%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.2%
Commute	Drove alone	77.0%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	14.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$1,958	$10	$42,675	$50,000	$0
2022	$145,774	$105,047	$40,727	$50,000	$80,517

Elections

2022 general house · WI-5 — lost_general

Committees

MIKE VAN SOMEREN FOR WI — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-10-31	DEMOCRATIC PARTY OF WISCONSIN FEDERAL	24K	$2,000
2022-09-30	SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION	24E	$10
2022-09-13	D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF…	24K	$5,000
2022-08-23	WOMEN WIN WISCONSIN PAC	24K	$107
2022-07-12	FIFTH CONG DIST DEM PARTY	24K	$2,800
2022-07-12	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS…	24K	$500
2021-10-26	WISCONSIN MEDICAL SOCIETY POLITICAL ACTION COMM…	24K	$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (7)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-10-31	DEMOCRATIC PARTY OF WISCONSIN FEDERAL	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-30	SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-09-13	D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-23	WOMEN WIN WISCONSIN PAC	contributed_to	$107	pas2
2022-07-12	FIFTH CONG DIST DEM PARTY	contributed_to	$2,800	pas2
2022-07-12	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2021-10-26	WISCONSIN MEDICAL SOCIETY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	MIKE VAN SOMEREN FOR WI	—		candidate_committees

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