AKIN, GARY

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2WY00109
Internal id: 1b4c6800-7f4f-47fe-8e94-038989861161
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2004	$10,621	$10,650	$0	$25,179	$7,226
2002	$18,210	$18,181	$29	$25,240	$9,054

Elections

2002 general house · WY-1 — running

Committees

COMMITTEE TO ELECT RON AKIN FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	COMMITTEE TO ELECT RON AKIN FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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