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GRAY, CHARLES

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2WY01032
Internal id
523b242c-813e-43a6-8617-b27ec7c2e4ba
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$0$181,012$0$0$0
2022$511,278$330,266$181,012$298,318$208,840

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$121,769$014

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$10,000DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$9,000SMS TEXT CAMPAIGN
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$5,000VOTER PHONE CALLS
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$9,000SMS TEXT MESSAGING
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$9,000SMS TEXT MESSAGING
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$5,000PRODUCTION COST: VIDEO
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$5,000DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$7,345SMS TEXT MESSAGING
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$9,865DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$14,689SMS TEXT MESSAGING
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$7,451DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$2,794DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$20,000DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupport$7,625SMS TEXT MESSAGING

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$9,000
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$9,000
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$5,000
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$5,000
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$9,000
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$5,000
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$10,000
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$7,451
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$2,794
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$14,689
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$7,344
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$7,624
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$20,000
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PAC24E$9,865

Connected on the graph

Inbound (42)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$9,00024Efec_pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$5,00024Efec_pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$5,00024Efec_pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$9,00024Efec_pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$5,00024Efec_pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$10,00024Efec_pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$9,00024Efec_pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$9,000pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$9,000pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$9,000fec_ies
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$10,000pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$5,000fec_ies
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$9,000fec_ies
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$9,000fec_ies
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$5,000fec_ies
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$5,000fec_ies
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$9,000pas2
2021-07-30PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$10,000fec_ies
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$20,000pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$2,79424Efec_pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$14,68924Efec_pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$7,34424Efec_pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$7,62424Efec_pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$20,00024Efec_pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$9,86524Efec_pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$7,451pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$2,794pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$14,689pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$7,344pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$7,624pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$7,45124Efec_pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACcontributed_to$9,865pas2
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$7,345fec_ies
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$9,865fec_ies
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$14,689fec_ies
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$7,451fec_ies
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$2,794fec_ies
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$7,625fec_ies
2021-06-04PROTECT WYOMING VALUES PACsupports_independently$20,000fec_ies

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofCITIZENS FOR CHUCK GRAYβ€”candidate_committees

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