SALMON, MATT
R Β· house Β· bioguide S000018
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- FEC candidate id
H4AZ01038- Internal id
d5f5d70a-9848-4e44-8f6d-d59a0f9652b2- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 840,221 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $109,252 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,753 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.418 |
| Race | White alone | 70.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 85.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.1% |
| Household | Family households | 74.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.79 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $498,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,032 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 77.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 64.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 24.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $408,619 | $461,428 | $394,629 | $0 | $188,449 |
| 2014 | $938,582 | $578,157 | $447,438 | $0 | $501,388 |
| 2012 | $1,283,757 | $1,196,744 | $87,013 | $0 | $897,899 |
| 2002 | $398 | $18,879 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $7,745 | $84,059 | $19,096 | $0 | $283 |
| 1998 | $388,422 | $362,374 | $95,411 | $0 | $188,333 |
| 1996 | $494,855 | $456,089 | $69,365 | $0 | $263,059 |
| 1994 | $539,023 | $508,421 | $30,601 | $41,739 | $273,102 |
Elections
- 1994 general house Β· AZ-1 β won
- 1996 general house Β· AZ-1 β won
- 1998 general house Β· AZ-1 β won
- 2000 general house Β· AZ-1 β won
- 2012 general house Β· AZ-5 β won
- 2014 general house Β· AZ-5 β won
- 2016 general house Β· AZ-5 β lost_general
Committees
- ARIZONA SUNRISE PAC β principal Β· type H
- FRIENDS OF MATT SALMON β principal Β· type H
- SALMON VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (13)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | educated_at | Brigham Young University | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | Arizona State University | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | Mesa High School | β | wikidata | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ARIZONA SUNRISE PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SALMON VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF MATT SALMON | β | candidate_committees | |
| 2015-01-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2013-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1999-01-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1997-01-07 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1995-01-04 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1993-01-01 | held_position | majority leader | β | wikidata | |
| 1991-01-01 | held_position | member of the State Senate of Arizona | β | wikidata |