SHADEGG, JOHN B.
R Β· house Β· bioguide S000275
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4AZ04016- Internal id
03e49ffb-87a6-4b50-884e-ae9a154d68e1- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 815,927 |
| People | Median age | 31 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,202 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $29,529 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.443 |
| Race | White alone | 29.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 63.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 35.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 25.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 48.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 47.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 48.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 20.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.8% |
| Household | Family households | 65.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.00 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 47.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $344,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,464 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 9.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 64.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $7,750 | $7,993 | $0 | $0 | $7,750 |
| 2012 | $15,269 | $15,181 | $243 | $9,453 | $9,400 |
| 2010 | $385,088 | $390,498 | $155 | $7,650 | $192,115 |
| 2008 | $2,892,558 | $2,911,886 | $5,565 | $0 | $1,860,914 |
| 2006 | $1,078,946 | $1,167,478 | $24,893 | $0 | $588,456 |
| 2004 | $812,405 | $794,261 | $113,425 | $0 | $348,301 |
| 2002 | $706,703 | $814,466 | $95,131 | $0 | $292,765 |
| 2000 | $707,996 | $573,748 | $202,893 | $0 | $324,153 |
| 1998 | $588,891 | $524,849 | $68,546 | $0 | $386,226 |
| 1996 | $504,330 | $512,249 | $4,504 | $10,314 | $312,713 |
| 1994 | $604,923 | $592,499 | $12,423 | $31,717 | $392,217 |
Elections
- 1994 general house Β· AZ-4 β won
- 1996 general house Β· AZ-4 β won
- 1998 general house Β· AZ-4 β won
- 2000 general house Β· AZ-4 β won
- 2002 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 2004 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 2006 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 2008 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 2010 general house Β· AZ-3 β lost_general
Committees
- GOOD GOVERNMENT 2000 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- JOHN SHADEGGS FRIENDS β principal Β· type H
- WESTERN GOP MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | WESTERN GOP MAJORITY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GOOD GOVERNMENT 2000 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOHN SHADEGGS FRIENDS | β | candidate_committees |