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WINN, KATHLEEN

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4AZ06136
Internal id
db69b34d-465e-45fe-af03-00ecb0ce3298
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-06. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation812,709
PeopleMedian age44
IncomeMedian household income$77,758
IncomePer-capita income$45,149
IncomeIn poverty10.4%
IncomeUnemployed5.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.461
RaceWhite alone68.4%
RaceBlack alone3.7%
RaceAsian alone3.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino25.4%
RaceTwo or more races16.9%
OriginForeign-born9.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home83.2%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home12.0%
EducationHigh school or higher59.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher39.5%
EducationAdvanced degree17.2%
HouseholdFamily households61.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.29
HouseholdNever married (15+)28.6%
HousingMedian home value$343,400
HousingMedian gross rent$1,266
HousingSingle-family detached65.3%
HousingBuilt before 19401.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.2%
HousingVacant units10.0%
ServiceVeterans (18+)11.9%
HealthWith a disability16.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.3%
CommuteDrove alone71.3%
CommutePublic transit0.9%
CommuteWorked from home16.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$286,409$286,409$0$0$141,307

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofKATHLEEN WINN FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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