GARZA, MIKE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4CA05075- Internal id
1516d11b-10c0-4c9a-8022-d762afc5c761- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 748,393 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $108,648 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $65,260 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.509 |
| Race | White alone | 35.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 20.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 23.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 27.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 60.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 17.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 54.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 25.6% |
| Household | Family households | 54.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 44.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,019,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,133 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 42.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 6.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 44.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 11.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 28.5% |
Elections
- 1984 general house Β· CA-5 β lost_general
- 1986 general house Β· CA-5 β lost_general
- 1988 general house Β· CA-5 β lost_general
- 2000 general house Β· CA-12 β lost_general
- 2004 general house Β· CA-12 β lost_general
- 2006 general house Β· CA-12 β lost_general
Committees
- GARZA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-19 | UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL β¦ | 24N | $3,200 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-19 | UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $3,200 | 24N | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-19 | UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION | contributed_to | $3,200 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | GARZA FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |