MARTIN, MARSHALL
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4CA06164- Internal id
a917156c-8294-4a44-a353-06c4f0a81b94- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 757,721 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $86,309 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,084 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.442 |
| Race | White alone | 50.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 12.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 23.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 67.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 12.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.9% |
| Household | Family households | 65.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.72 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $485,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,756 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 60.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 6.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $3,615 | $3,615 | $0 | $0 | $3,530 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· CA-6 β lost_general
Committees
- MARSHALL MARTIN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MARSHALL MARTIN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |