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SIMES, REGINA RENEE

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4CA07071
Internal id
d8d962bb-0ce6-4bc7-b060-67861a40bffa
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-43. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation729,891
PeopleMedian age36
IncomeMedian household income$75,699
IncomePer-capita income$31,737
IncomeIn poverty16.9%
IncomeUnemployed8.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.447
RaceWhite alone12.4%
RaceBlack alone22.2%
RaceAsian alone9.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino58.7%
RaceTwo or more races24.3%
OriginForeign-born32.7%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home41.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home49.6%
EducationHigh school or higher47.0%
EducationBachelor's or higher22.4%
EducationAdvanced degree6.8%
HouseholdFamily households70.4%
HouseholdAvg household size3.12
HouseholdNever married (15+)46.5%
HousingMedian home value$699,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,762
HousingSingle-family detached46.5%
HousingBuilt before 194014.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)15.9%
HousingVacant units5.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)2.8%
HealthWith a disability13.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.8%
CommuteDrove alone70.2%
CommutePublic transit4.4%
CommuteWorked from home9.9%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofREGINA RENEE SIMESβ€”candidate_committees

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