HURTADO, MELISSA
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4CA22120- Internal id
9a2068c0-0007-44fc-8798-d0b38315a566- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-22. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 780,759 |
| People | Median age | 31 |
| Income | Median household income | $58,828 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $22,039 |
| Income | In poverty | 22.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 10.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.441 |
| Race | White alone | 31.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 74.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 29.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 26.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 39.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 56.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 40.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 10.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 3.0% |
| Household | Family households | 78.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 43.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $285,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,189 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 14.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 4.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $84,532 | $84,163 | $370 | $27,809 | $74,087 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· CA-22 β lost_general
Committees
- MELISSA HURTADO FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $7,350 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-05 | WATERFOWL PAC - FEDERAL | oppose | $250 | Digital Ad |
| 2024-01-18 | WATERFOWL PAC - FEDERAL | oppose | $7,100 | Digital Ad |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-05 | WATERFOWL PAC - FEDERAL | opposes_independently | $250 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-01-18 | WATERFOWL PAC - FEDERAL | opposes_independently | $7,100 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MELISSA HURTADO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |