CASTRO, DUSTIN
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4CO04256- Internal id
e0b5b196-11e0-4a6d-8973-b0fa038567ba- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CO-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 756,186 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $115,239 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $57,035 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.441 |
| Race | White alone | 78.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 48.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.1% |
| Household | Family households | 71.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.62 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 26.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $602,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,855 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 23.6% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· CO-4 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.