GRAYSON, RICHARD
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4ID02071- Internal id
2e1d8fcb-4a19-45e4-aea2-c27d783d6b18- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), ID-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 947,982 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,805 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,598 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 80.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.6% |
| Household | Family households | 66.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.63 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $386,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,183 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.3% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· ID-2 β lost_general
Committees
- MAKE ABORTION LEGAL AGAIN VOTE RICHARD GRAYSON β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MAKE ABORTION LEGAL AGAIN VOTE RICHARD GRAYSON | β | candidate_committees |