ZAVALA, JORGE GERARDO
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4IL04091- Internal id
af78a0f7-eef2-41c1-9883-997c0ab40a98- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 729,797 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,931 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,010 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.478 |
| Race | White alone | 31.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 66.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 24.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 31.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 37.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 56.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.6% |
| Household | Family households | 70.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.92 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 42.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $287,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,189 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 60.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 9.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.7% |
Elections
- 2014 general house Β· IL-4 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.