WINTERS, BRENT
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4IL19065- Internal id
13bc4feb-6d16-403a-9c00-652fcc084d84- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | $0 | $7,285 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1998 | $431,637 | $424,347 | $7,285 | $43,901 | $188,583 |
| 1996 | $99,643 | $100,055 | $0 | $0 | $90,968 |
| 1994 | $58,816 | $57,702 | $1,114 | $0 | $50,942 |
Elections
- 1994 general house Β· IL-19 β lost_general
- 1996 general house Β· IL-19 β lost_general
- 1998 general house Β· IL-19 β lost_general
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT WINTERS TO CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT WINTERS TO CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |